V.  RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

Connecticut Alcohol-Related Fatality Analysis

J. ARIMA Analyses of Connecticut Alcohol-Related Fatalities Involving Men 21 to 34 Years Old

The random effects ARIMA model (000) (000) results indicated that there was a significant decrease in the alcohol-related fatality trend for men 21 to 34 following the beginning of the campaign and including the 18-month period from July 2003 through December 2004 (p<.03).    As shown in Table 37, the estimated reduction in the number of fatalities by 1.568 lives each month for the 18 months following the beginning of the campaign led to a total estimate of about 28 lives saved in 18 months. 

Table 37. Connecticut Alcohol-Related Fatality Trend Involving Men 21 to 34 Years Old ARIMA Results: Parameter Estimates for Alcohol-Related Fatalities